NFL Wins Pool Update
Last updated November 12, 2024
Standings
| Rank | Team | Wins | Remaining Games | Win % | Win % Rank | Projected Wins (FPI) | Projected Rank (FPI) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Andrew Moeller | 19 | 23 | 67.9% | 1 | 30.3 | 2 |
| 2 | Andrew Batchelor | 18 | 22 | 62.1% | 3 | 30.7 | 1 |
| 2 | Karl Loiseau | 18 | 23 | 64.3% | 2 | 29.9 | 3 |
| 4 | Luke Phelan | 17 | 22 | 58.6% | 4 | 28.4 | 4 |
| 5 | Matt Hogel | 15 | 23 | 53.6% | 5 | 26.6 | 5 |
| 6 | Gavin Gray | 13 | 22 | 44.8% | 6 | 24.3 | 6 |
| 7 | Dan Ellenberger | 12 | 23 | 42.9% | 7 | 23.5 | 7 |
| 7 | Mike Thorne | 12 | 23 | 42.9% | 7 | 23.4 | 8 |
| 7 | Steve Creaser | 12 | 23 | 42.9% | 7 | 21.7 | 10 |
| 10 | Nick Boucher | 10 | 22 | 34.5% | 10 | 22.1 | 9 |
- Projected wins taken from ESPN FPI projections.
Expanded Standings
| Team | Wins |
Projected Wins |
Next Opponent |
Win Probability in Next Game |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Andrew Moeller | ||||
| Buffalo Bills | 8 | 12.4 | KC | 0.59 |
| Pittsburgh Steelers | 7 | 10.7 | BAL | 0.39 |
| Seattle Seahawks | 4 | 7.2 | SF | 0.28 |
| Andrew Batchelor | ||||
| Washington Commanders | 7 | 11.2 | PHI | 0.38 |
| Atlanta Falcons | 6 | 9.9 | DEN | 0.41 |
| San Francisco 49ers | 5 | 9.6 | SEA | 0.72 |
| Karl Loiseau | ||||
| Baltimore Ravens | 7 | 11.6 | PIT | 0.61 |
| Minnesota Vikings | 7 | 11.4 | TEN | 0.7 |
| Chicago Bears | 4 | 6.9 | GB | 0.3 |
| Luke Phelan | ||||
| Green Bay Packers | 6 | 10.6 | CHI | 0.7 |
| Houston Texans | 6 | 9.9 | DAL | 0.75 |
| Denver Broncos | 5 | 7.9 | ATL | 0.59 |
| Matt Hogel | ||||
| Kansas City Chiefs | 9 | 14.1 | BUF | 0.41 |
| Indianapolis Colts | 4 | 7.5 | NYJ | 0.36 |
| Las Vegas Raiders | 2 | 5.0 | MIA | 0.25 |
| Gavin Gray | ||||
| Arizona Cardinals | 6 | 10.0 | NA | |
| Los Angeles Rams | 4 | 7.7 | NE | 0.67 |
| New York Jets | 3 | 6.6 | IND | 0.64 |
| Dan Ellenberger | ||||
| Philadelphia Eagles | 7 | 12.0 | WAS | 0.62 |
| Miami Dolphins | 3 | 6.8 | LV | 0.75 |
| New York Giants | 2 | 4.7 | NA | |
| Mike Thorne | ||||
| Detroit Lions | 8 | 13.2 | JAX | 0.87 |
| Jacksonville Jaguars | 2 | 5.2 | DET | 0.13 |
| Tennessee Titans | 2 | 5.0 | MIN | 0.3 |
| Steve Creaser | ||||
| Los Angeles Chargers | 6 | 10.0 | CIN | 0.55 |
| Dallas Cowboys | 3 | 5.4 | HOU | 0.25 |
| New Orleans Saints | 3 | 6.3 | CLE | 0.54 |
| Nick Boucher | ||||
| Cincinnati Bengals | 4 | 7.9 | LAC | 0.45 |
| Tampa Bay Buccaneers | 4 | 8.6 | NA | |
| Cleveland Browns | 2 | 5.6 | NO | 0.46 |
- Win probability calculated from covers.com odds
Weekly Head-to-Heads
Leverage measured by:
* Circles to the top right are games between people closest to first
place
* Bigger circles indicate games that are more likely to be closely
contested
Strength of Schedule in the coming weeks
Draft Analysis
| Team | Wins |
Draft Spot |
Expected Wins |
Performance vs. Expectation |
Better Choices |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Andrew Moeller | |||||
| Buffalo Bills | 8 | 8 | 7 | 1 | 0 |
| Seattle Seahawks | 4 | 17 | 4 | 0 | 4 |
| Pittsburgh Steelers | 7 | 21 | 4 | 3 | 0 |
| Andrew Batchelor | |||||
| San Francisco 49ers | 5 | 2 | 8 | -3 | 10 |
| Atlanta Falcons | 6 | 16 | 4 | 2 | 2 |
| Washington Commanders | 7 | 29 | 2 | 5 | 0 |
| Karl Loiseau | |||||
| Baltimore Ravens | 7 | 4 | 7 | 0 | 2 |
| Chicago Bears | 4 | 18 | 4 | 0 | 4 |
| Minnesota Vikings | 7 | 25 | 3 | 4 | 0 |
| Luke Phelan | |||||
| Green Bay Packers | 6 | 7 | 7 | -1 | 4 |
| Houston Texans | 6 | 11 | 6 | 0 | 3 |
| Denver Broncos | 5 | 28 | 2 | 3 | 1 |
| Matt Hogel | |||||
| Kansas City Chiefs | 9 | 1 | 9 | 0 | 0 |
| Indianapolis Colts | 4 | 20 | 4 | 0 | 5 |
| Las Vegas Raiders | 2 | 27 | 3 | -1 | 4 |
| Gavin Gray | |||||
| Los Angeles Rams | 4 | 10 | 6 | -2 | 7 |
| New York Jets | 3 | 12 | 6 | -3 | 10 |
| Arizona Cardinals | 6 | 24 | 3 | 3 | 2 |
| Dan Ellenberger | |||||
| Philadelphia Eagles | 7 | 3 | 8 | -1 | 2 |
| Miami Dolphins | 3 | 13 | 6 | -3 | 11 |
| New York Giants | 2 | 30 | 2 | 0 | 2 |
| Mike Thorne | |||||
| Detroit Lions | 8 | 5 | 7 | 1 | 0 |
| Jacksonville Jaguars | 2 | 15 | 5 | -3 | 13 |
| Tennessee Titans | 2 | 26 | 3 | -1 | 4 |
| Steve Creaser | |||||
| Dallas Cowboys | 3 | 9 | 6 | -3 | 12 |
| Los Angeles Chargers | 6 | 14 | 5 | 1 | 3 |
| New Orleans Saints | 3 | 23 | 3 | 0 | 4 |
| Nick Boucher | |||||
| Cincinnati Bengals | 4 | 6 | 7 | -3 | 10 |
| Cleveland Browns | 2 | 19 | 4 | -2 | 9 |
| Tampa Bay Buccaneers | 4 | 22 | 3 | 1 | 4 |
Draft Results
